Birdwatch Note Rating
2022-11-24 17:42:21 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: DE6EFA1485E4B516999ED6269487508F696BA281208F7A44EDB74C277D4E92FD
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Original Note:
This tweet illustrates the base rate fallacy. This exact comparison has become so common that it was chosen as the first figure on Wikipedia. Ex: In a 99% vaccinated population, a car crash is more likely to contain two vaccinated persons, because the sample size is larger. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate_fallacy
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