Birdwatch Note Rating
2022-11-24 00:45:27 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: E2FFD368BF31ADB644EA41D042DC6F879222C871E4A42D597485DF778AE1E1E7
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Original Note:
This tweet illustrates the base rate fallacy: this exact comparison has become so common that it was chosen as the first figure on Wikipedia. Ex: In a 99% vaccinated population, a car crash is more likely to contain two vaccinated persons, because the sample size is larger. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate_fallacy
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