Birdwatch Note Rating
2022-11-24 21:50:05 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: A3C9BCBE2F22EFCAD047D8E159C742ADC165C8A37D1DA91CFD7F1EC023C970F9
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Original Note:
This tweet illustrates the base rate fallacy: this exact comparison has become so common that it was chosen as the first figure on Wikipedia. Ex: In a 99% vaccinated population, a car crash is more likely to contain two vaccinated persons, because the sample size is larger. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate_fallacy
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