Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-11-06 17:05:42 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

Nate Silver’s model predicted a near- 50/50 possibility of Harris or Trump winning and he wrote a piece in the New York Times less than 2 weeks ago that said his gut feeling was that Trump would win. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html

Written by E20F098FF970FF182DE3FA0F56BC1337CCA504CB942008EB7094826C88D97417
Participant Details

Original Tweet

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All Information

  • ID - 1854208551151092031
  • noteId - 1854208551151092031
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - E20F098FF970FF182DE3FA0F56BC1337CCA504CB942008EB7094826C88D97417
  • createdAtMillis - 1730912742780
  • tweetId - 1854202104577212563
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • Nate Silver’s model predicted a near- 50/50 possibility of Harris or Trump winning and he wrote a piece in the New York Times less than 2 weeks ago that said his gut feeling was that Trump would win. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html

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