Birdwatch Note
2024-10-25 03:07:59 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
The claim that Trump has a 91.9% chance of winning the 2024 election is inaccurate. No data from RealClearPolitics or "Silver Bulletin" supports this. Polling experts like Nate Silver show a much closer race. Check the sources here: https://www.realclearpolitics.com https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls.
Written by E7F4C1BE9DDE2EC13F5504CEB0216084FF797C81512FD417D8817202CE7F3474
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1849649075810947529
- noteId - 1849649075810947529
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - E7F4C1BE9DDE2EC13F5504CEB0216084FF797C81512FD417D8817202CE7F3474
- createdAtMillis - 1729825679148
- tweetId - 1849596960535142629
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- The claim that Trump has a 91.9% chance of winning the 2024 election is inaccurate. No data from RealClearPolitics or "Silver Bulletin" supports this. Polling experts like Nate Silver show a much closer race. Check the sources here: https://www.realclearpolitics.com https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls.
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