Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-10-19 16:31:36 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

The image shown is not of Nate Silver’s model. It is from Polymarket, a prediction (betting) market, and misrepresents the claim. https://x.com/natesilver538/status/1847318664019620047?s=46&t=vsTUuJGwDm0lMHLxacVpew https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024

Written by 3238A7AA1ABB4EA17BD997D4E30A69B464113A1A852E1F9891F5C28421F2DC11
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1846983108085620897

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1847676984962240837
  • noteId - 1847676984962240837
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 3238A7AA1ABB4EA17BD997D4E30A69B464113A1A852E1F9891F5C28421F2DC11
  • createdAtMillis - 1729355496051
  • tweetId - 1846983108085620897
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 0
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • The image shown is not of Nate Silver’s model. It is from Polymarket, a prediction (betting) market, and misrepresents the claim. https://x.com/natesilver538/status/1847318664019620047?s=46&t=vsTUuJGwDm0lMHLxacVpew https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024

Note Ratings

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2024-10-19 17:20:52 -0500 Rating Details
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2024-10-19 11:58:51 -0500 Rating Details