Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-10-18 07:04:46 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

Political betting markets should not be framed similarly to polls and there are political advantages to manipulate these markets. The bettors do not represent the whole populace and there are market inefficiencies. https://dl.tufts.edu/downloads/4m90f7221?filename=w6634g725.pdf

Written by FAEA5BF9A37FE35E928326E6D0114AFD1C940A50841ED423D4149AEA33B69DF8
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1846940848274968600

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All Information

  • ID - 1847171952752185520
  • noteId - 1847171952752185520
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - FAEA5BF9A37FE35E928326E6D0114AFD1C940A50841ED423D4149AEA33B69DF8
  • createdAtMillis - 1729235086988
  • tweetId - 1846940848274968600
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 0
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • Political betting markets should not be framed similarly to polls and there are political advantages to manipulate these markets. The bettors do not represent the whole populace and there are market inefficiencies. https://dl.tufts.edu/downloads/4m90f7221?filename=w6634g725.pdf

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