Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-10-18 02:31:22 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

Polymarket is a crypto betting website, easily subjected to manipulation: https://protos.com/did-a-polymarket-trader-rig-election-odds-for-a-side-bet/ https://x.com/SwannMarcus89/status/1843382352766189575 https://rajivsethi.substack.com/p/a-failed-attempt-at-prediction-market https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/06/very-interesting-failed-attempt-at-manipulation-on-polymarket-today/ Conventional polling data shows Democrats ahead https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://www.270towin.com/

Written by 2A6B630D0AEA2ACC36E2189A989B042C8F44788D5C6526EF4EAC8856A79A73D8
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1847030505159405685

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1847103145383485627
  • noteId - 1847103145383485627
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 2A6B630D0AEA2ACC36E2189A989B042C8F44788D5C6526EF4EAC8856A79A73D8
  • createdAtMillis - 1729218682033
  • tweetId - 1847030505159405685
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • Polymarket is a crypto betting website, easily subjected to manipulation: https://protos.com/did-a-polymarket-trader-rig-election-odds-for-a-side-bet/ https://x.com/SwannMarcus89/status/1843382352766189575 https://rajivsethi.substack.com/p/a-failed-attempt-at-prediction-market https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/06/very-interesting-failed-attempt-at-manipulation-on-polymarket-today/ Conventional polling data shows Democrats ahead https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://www.270towin.com/

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