Birdwatch Note
2024-10-07 04:20:48 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
It’s misleading to say that Trump is leading in the betting markets plural, implying that there is a consensus within major betting markets as to who is the favorite to win. Even though he has taken the lead on polymarket. As of 10/7 Kamala still holds the lead on predict.org & Kalshi.com. https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election https://kalshi.com/markets/pres/presidential-elections
Written by B7A7ECE854F6EECF5EC1F4127C65F2BC5603AFD52B0BEE94DC2B056F86A06C81
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1843144420675207220
- noteId - 1843144420675207220
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - B7A7ECE854F6EECF5EC1F4127C65F2BC5603AFD52B0BEE94DC2B056F86A06C81
- createdAtMillis - 1728274848513
- tweetId - 1843132050242777187
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- It’s misleading to say that Trump is leading in the betting markets plural, implying that there is a consensus within major betting markets as to who is the favorite to win. Even though he has taken the lead on polymarket. As of 10/7 Kamala still holds the lead on predict.org & Kalshi.com. https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election https://kalshi.com/markets/pres/presidential-elections
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