Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-11-19 05:29:20 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

投稿者の話はOECDの国は低接種率でも21年末までに人口の10%程の陽性↓だという事に基づくようですが https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&country=TUR~COL~CRI~SVN~POL~SVK~CZE&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&hideControls=true&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false 実際の感染数と陽性数は全く異なります。 例えばOECDの低接種国であるポーランドは累積陽性数は21年5月末で人口の7%程ですが↓ https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&country=~POL&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&hideControls=true&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false 感染後にできるN抗体(抗体減衰等により既感染の完全な指標ではありません)の保持率は21年春に30%程です↓ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10472750/ なお日本は21年12月の時点で大都市で1-4%と報告されています↓ https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/000898612.pdf 西浦氏の論文でもそうした感染が報告される程度(reporting coverage)に関して仮定をおいて計算がされています↓ https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00320-6

Written by F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D
Participant Details

Original Tweet

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All Information

  • ID - 1726110387484139526
  • noteId - 1726110387484139526
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1700371760612
  • tweetId - 1725836825749811208
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 1
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • 投稿者の話はOECDの国は低接種率でも21年末までに人口の10%程の陽性↓だという事に基づくようですが https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&country=TUR~COL~CRI~SVN~POL~SVK~CZE&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&hideControls=true&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false 実際の感染数と陽性数は全く異なります。 例えばOECDの低接種国であるポーランドは累積陽性数は21年5月末で人口の7%程ですが↓ https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&country=~POL&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&hideControls=true&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false 感染後にできるN抗体(抗体減衰等により既感染の完全な指標ではありません)の保持率は21年春に30%程です↓ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10472750/ なお日本は21年12月の時点で大都市で1-4%と報告されています↓ https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/000898612.pdf 西浦氏の論文でもそうした感染が報告される程度(reporting coverage)に関して仮定をおいて計算がされています↓ https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00320-6

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-11-19 05:29:20 UTC
(1700371760612)		 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)		 2023-11-20 02:51:06 UTC
(1700448666702)		 NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

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