Birdwatch Note
2023-03-12 10:09:30 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction; claims of predictive utility from planetary alignment have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat
Written by E1E3C0A26F63212BD4C22002DA1B6B73B473998C762722863F75D65E1DC8210F
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1634857498602799104
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1634859149942038528
- noteId - 1634859149942038528
- participantId - E1E3C0A26F63212BD4C22002DA1B6B73B473998C762722863F75D65E1DC8210F
- noteAuthorParticipantId -
- createdAtMillis - 1678615770216
- tweetId - 1634857498602799104
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 1
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction; claims of predictive utility from planetary alignment have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-03-12 10:09:30 UTC (1678615770216) |
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
2023-03-13 02:08:35 UTC (1678673315039) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
Note Ratings
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| 2023-03-12 06:57:13 -0500 | 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E | Rating Details |
| 2023-03-12 14:21:48 -0500 | 3922021E2B4C1A4B610B8FAFE0447925B4441B7A397CBAE1E446B9DE65C2A8E3 | Rating Details |
| 2023-03-12 09:36:52 -0500 | 464F514091F013106E190C712492FDDD7A2F35D38B0E762F31374CC21B9FD858 | Rating Details |
| 2023-03-12 09:39:40 -0500 | 53898DB17ECDDB8648EEF935CB6A549F98569E6619DAFF240C313863886015F6 | Rating Details |
| 2023-03-12 11:23:01 -0500 | 972D7DADDFE67A9266D9DAEF559C658517AEA3FD75C604B2190BBC14B1C9408C | Rating Details |
| 2023-03-12 15:55:13 -0500 | C378931E048482D2BFDF00DC95644D6377CBCB812C79FF87D77B5E48595B3DA3 | Rating Details |
| 2023-03-12 21:03:23 -0500 | Rating Details | |
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| 2023-05-17 06:54:11 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-12 09:39:40 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-12 15:55:13 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-17 06:54:11 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-12 06:57:13 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-12 11:23:01 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-12 21:03:23 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-12 14:21:48 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-12 09:36:52 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-12 20:50:28 -0500 | Rating Details |