Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-03-09 00:08:46 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction; claims of predictive utility from atmospheric phenomena have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/do-solar-flares-or-magnetic-storms-space-weather-cause-earthquakes https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/there-earthquake-weather https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/are-earthquakes-associated-variations-geomagnetic-field https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs

Written by 7981A2C40D6150AF302C8AD7A987AA43203E1B7AD414C9BDAD30EB7DC45672CB
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1633223542794854403

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All Information

  • ID - 1633620808307187712
  • noteId - 1633620808307187712
  • participantId - 7981A2C40D6150AF302C8AD7A987AA43203E1B7AD414C9BDAD30EB7DC45672CB
  • noteAuthorParticipantId -
  • createdAtMillis - 1678320526562
  • tweetId - 1633223542794854403
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction; claims of predictive utility from atmospheric phenomena have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/do-solar-flares-or-magnetic-storms-space-weather-cause-earthquakes https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/there-earthquake-weather https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/are-earthquakes-associated-variations-geomagnetic-field https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-03-09 00:08:46 UTC
(1678320526562)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-03-09 02:09:52 UTC
(1678327792328)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

Note Ratings

rated at rated by
2023-03-08 21:20:27 -0600 45B8EF43682258D990F1C39DD9C1C131E030B7B116A1A874CAD37AED55F98C04 Rating Details
2023-03-08 18:28:52 -0600 7C318A55DA967AF307404F852FA3E254598BEE744D950C842E03E0C6CD019D14 Rating Details
2023-03-08 18:26:07 -0600 9B83177C09F5BAF6A333B81FF931B09105B3CEA81310F93A3FCF73240EAF1D83 Rating Details
2023-03-08 19:27:37 -0600 AC7A8F46317100323D7B33C6900415946E44842F7C4CAC41FC7FF1E330D2559C Rating Details
2023-03-08 20:08:33 -0600 C966E0BA5803EDA2B9ADEA1A226B5D5FB13629349A2D9A920F01C5137F8AF13B Rating Details
2023-03-08 18:21:32 -0600 EF37E84E90611D2C09E0C4783A129C16AF3F47946953BBDC410C1EBA376C23D5 Rating Details
2023-03-08 20:08:33 -0600 Rating Details
2023-03-08 21:20:27 -0600 Rating Details
2023-03-08 18:26:07 -0600 Rating Details
2023-03-08 19:27:37 -0600 Rating Details
2023-03-08 18:28:52 -0600 Rating Details
2023-03-08 18:21:32 -0600 Rating Details