Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-03-07 16:49:37 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas here are some of the world's most seismically active regions. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1633049393984311296

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1633147904973213700
  • noteId - 1633147904973213700
  • participantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
  • noteAuthorParticipantId -
  • createdAtMillis - 1678207777623
  • tweetId - 1633049393984311296
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas here are some of the world's most seismically active regions. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-03-07 16:49:37 UTC
(1678207777623)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-03-09 02:09:52 UTC
(1678327792328)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

Note Ratings

rated at rated by
2023-03-07 12:54:40 -0600 45060ED935D102E05C21C743FE433C0B17B27D8FCF69CED01A2AD3F9AB2815B1 Rating Details
2023-03-07 13:38:45 -0600 9736DF42171A999208E640D9616E3AF1D2219C9694E38F806D374F891F58485E Rating Details
2023-03-07 11:58:47 -0600 ADA7A6B861E84F16A9AC3EE64215DB07837986FF7A1CF25A4D643148B37B51E4 Rating Details
2023-03-07 11:38:44 -0600 BCE1617AB1CAE8A24B7EB5E79E218EE63C01A69D41005CA0CD4D289DD3A5A9F8 Rating Details
2023-03-13 11:26:18 -0500 Rating Details
2023-03-20 00:43:42 -0500 Rating Details
2023-03-07 11:58:47 -0600 Rating Details
2023-03-13 11:26:18 -0500 Rating Details
2023-03-07 13:38:45 -0600 Rating Details
2023-03-07 12:54:40 -0600 Rating Details
2023-03-20 00:43:42 -0500 Rating Details
2023-03-07 11:38:44 -0600 Rating Details