Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-02-26 03:10:17 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas here are some of the world's most seismically active regions. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1629484499116470272

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1629680221992652800
  • noteId - 1629680221992652800
  • participantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
  • noteAuthorParticipantId -
  • createdAtMillis - 1677381017574
  • tweetId - 1629484499116470272
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas here are some of the world's most seismically active regions. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-02-26 03:10:17 UTC
(1677381017574)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-03-07 02:11:29 UTC
(1678155089929)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

Note Ratings

rated at rated by
2023-02-26 00:18:00 -0600 2DD393D8FAD46C32DA6EA1FC4929A5AD4814F8320F08CBE93021307DE9E62F0D Rating Details
2023-02-26 08:20:33 -0600 45B8EF43682258D990F1C39DD9C1C131E030B7B116A1A874CAD37AED55F98C04 Rating Details
2023-02-26 05:22:37 -0600 C966E0BA5803EDA2B9ADEA1A226B5D5FB13629349A2D9A920F01C5137F8AF13B Rating Details
2023-02-26 06:28:13 -0600 E02B39324264A848F4272C83E565B2E9FC2A3FD268BFE5D1663197769B8348B8 Rating Details
2023-03-19 22:06:31 -0500 Rating Details
2023-02-26 00:18:00 -0600 Rating Details
2023-02-26 05:22:37 -0600 Rating Details
2023-02-26 08:20:33 -0600 Rating Details
2023-02-26 06:28:13 -0600 Rating Details
2023-03-19 22:06:31 -0500 Rating Details