Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-02-18 16:58:31 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction; claims of predictive utility from planetary alignment have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but these specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1626689883010998272

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1626989549363625985
  • noteId - 1626989549363625985
  • participantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
  • noteAuthorParticipantId -
  • createdAtMillis - 1676739511229
  • tweetId - 1626689883010998272
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction; claims of predictive utility from planetary alignment have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but these specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-02-18 16:58:31 UTC
(1676739511229)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-03-07 02:11:29 UTC
(1678155089929)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

Note Ratings

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2023-02-19 15:24:10 -0600 4215D9563595F781A78BD06C709BD255BF0F42307C5ED0006B4B4D570BDAD051 Rating Details
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