Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-01-18 15:45:39 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in places like Indonesia, but specific predictions perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas here are some of the most seismically active parts of the world. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1615675789927669761

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1615737190830702593
  • noteId - 1615737190830702593
  • participantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
  • noteAuthorParticipantId -
  • createdAtMillis - 1674056739897
  • tweetId - 1615675789927669761
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in places like Indonesia, but specific predictions perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas here are some of the most seismically active parts of the world. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies

Note Ratings

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