Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-01-12 15:44:15 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific evidence for earthquake prediction. There is always a chance for earthquakes at active faults, but specific predictions like these perform no better than random when tested. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/can-we-predict-earthquakes-at-all1/ User's history of similar pseudoscience claims: https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.inverse.com/science/earthquake-prediction-dutchsinse-holmquist-conspiracy

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1613409975145046020

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1613562508266307586
  • noteId - 1613562508266307586
  • participantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
  • noteAuthorParticipantId -
  • createdAtMillis - 1673538255169
  • tweetId - 1613409975145046020
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific evidence for earthquake prediction. There is always a chance for earthquakes at active faults, but specific predictions like these perform no better than random when tested. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/can-we-predict-earthquakes-at-all1/ User's history of similar pseudoscience claims: https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.inverse.com/science/earthquake-prediction-dutchsinse-holmquist-conspiracy

Note Ratings

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2023-01-12 11:49:30 -0600 45B8EF43682258D990F1C39DD9C1C131E030B7B116A1A874CAD37AED55F98C04 Rating Details
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2023-01-12 13:45:31 -0600 Rating Details
2023-01-12 15:14:45 -0600 Rating Details
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2023-01-13 09:23:38 -0600 Rating Details
2023-01-12 11:51:41 -0600 Rating Details
2023-01-12 15:36:51 -0600 Rating Details
2023-01-12 10:31:26 -0600 Rating Details
2023-01-12 21:17:52 -0600 Rating Details