Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2022-11-15 16:34:56 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. There is always a chance for earthquakes in areas with active faults, but specific predictions like this perform no better than random when tested. More from scientists: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/can-we-predict-earthquakes-at-all1/ User's history of pseudoscience claims: https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1592529122353610753

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1592556769242644482
  • noteId - 1592556769242644482
  • participantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
  • noteAuthorParticipantId -
  • createdAtMillis - 1668530096719
  • tweetId - 1592529122353610753
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. There is always a chance for earthquakes in areas with active faults, but specific predictions like this perform no better than random when tested. More from scientists: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/can-we-predict-earthquakes-at-all1/ User's history of pseudoscience claims: https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2022-11-15 16:34:56 UTC
(1668530096719)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E

Note Ratings

rated at rated by
2022-11-15 10:47:57 -0600 0B683F53A71314B5B037053E967D8B7476EE62CEC7C245474E462A3294BE2995 Rating Details
2022-11-15 10:47:57 -0600 Rating Details