Birdwatch Note
2025-02-10 13:45:29 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. Vanuatu is one of the most seismically active areas in the world, and specific predictions like this perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 Predictions like this are very common online scams: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.inverse.com/science/earthquake-prediction-dutchsinse-holmquist-conspiracy
Written by 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1888747783781240983
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All Information
- ID - 1888947398027755622
- noteId - 1888947398027755622
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1739195129293
- tweetId - 1888747783781240983
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. Vanuatu is one of the most seismically active areas in the world, and specific predictions like this perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 Predictions like this are very common online scams: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.inverse.com/science/earthquake-prediction-dutchsinse-holmquist-conspiracy
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