Birdwatch Note
2025-02-08 18:43:56 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
A 22-2 split in 24 people has ≈1 in 56,000 odds of being randomly drawn. Actual swing-state polls (1,000+ voters, ±3% error) showed 48-48 ties. This non-random focus group’s extreme outlier highlights why tiny, skewed samples mislead. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/21/harris-trump-post-schar-school-poll https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/polls-president.html https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3915
Written by 1B0CC438BCA3072E7E1FD5D62A78A721C4C386FCE1F210F06D23222DD997D49C
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1833741045156225446
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All Information
- ID - 1888297730323398933
- noteId - 1888297730323398933
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 1B0CC438BCA3072E7E1FD5D62A78A721C4C386FCE1F210F06D23222DD997D49C Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1739040236441
- tweetId - 1833741045156225446
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- A 22-2 split in 24 people has ≈1 in 56,000 odds of being randomly drawn. Actual swing-state polls (1,000+ voters, ±3% error) showed 48-48 ties. This non-random focus group’s extreme outlier highlights why tiny, skewed samples mislead. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/21/harris-trump-post-schar-school-poll https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/polls-president.html https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3915
Note Ratings
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| 2025-02-08 22:38:22 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2025-02-08 20:01:01 -0600 | Rating Details |