Birdwatch Note
2024-12-10 22:52:22 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
西浦先生の予想は初期の流行期に80％の人的接触を減らさなければ「流行 50 日目には 1 日の新規感者数が 特定10万人規模都市で（5,414 人）にのぼり、最終的（60日後）に日本人口の 79.9％が感染すると考えられそのうち0.4％の42万が死ぬという予想」です。 短期間での42万人の死者予想である点に留意が必要です。 全く違う期間での米国の「「累計」」のコロナ死者数を比較するのま全く不適切です。 https://x.com/ClusterJapan/status/1246314012389675009 https://x.com/ClusterJapan/status/1250639295674634240 https://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/novel_coronavirus/senmonkakaigi/sidai_r020302.pdf https://www.inamori-f.or.jp/210325/02 https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jsrpim/36/2/36_155/_pdf https://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2023/2023cj307.pdf
Written by 47446A6B958894D4728A78E6414926C9A6FCE66EA8AFFACCD25F4BB70F897424
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1866616980188590361
- noteId - 1866616980188590361
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 47446A6B958894D4728A78E6414926C9A6FCE66EA8AFFACCD25F4BB70F897424 Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1733871142800
- tweetId - 1866392261405409566
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 1
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 西浦先生の予想は初期の流行期に80％の人的接触を減らさなければ「流行 50 日目には 1 日の新規感者数が 特定10万人規模都市で（5,414 人）にのぼり、最終的（60日後）に日本人口の 79.9％が感染すると考えられそのうち0.4％の42万が死ぬという予想」です。 短期間での42万人の死者予想である点に留意が必要です。 全く違う期間での米国の「「累計」」のコロナ死者数を比較するのま全く不適切です。 https://x.com/ClusterJapan/status/1246314012389675009 https://x.com/ClusterJapan/status/1250639295674634240 https://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/novel_coronavirus/senmonkakaigi/sidai_r020302.pdf https://www.inamori-f.or.jp/210325/02 https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jsrpim/36/2/36_155/_pdf https://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2023/2023cj307.pdf
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