Birdwatch Note
2024-12-10 07:33:53 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
西浦氏が提示したモデルは「基本再生産数（1人の感染者が新たに2・5人の感染者を生むと想定）の値を ’2.5’にした設定」で行動制限しなければ 僅か「60日」で人口の約80％が約一億人が感染しそのうち0.4％が死亡すると42万人とした提言です 個人が手洗いうがいやユニバーサルマスクを行ったり、G7の中でもGDP比最大となるコロナ対策費を使って対策したから条件が変わるようなもので全くありません。 「コロナ対策費を使って対策をしていますのでその仮定条件が全く満たされていません」 などは見当違いの指摘です。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/000610566.pdf https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/000610566.pdf https://www.ktei.go.jp/jp/singi/novel_coronavirus/senmonkakaigi/sidai_r020302.pdf https://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2023/2023cj307.pdf
Written by 47446A6B958894D4728A78E6414926C9A6FCE66EA8AFFACCD25F4BB70F897424
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All Information
- ID - 1866385836784378293
- noteId - 1866385836784378293
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 47446A6B958894D4728A78E6414926C9A6FCE66EA8AFFACCD25F4BB70F897424 Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1733816033918
- tweetId - 1865973891048591648
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
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- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 1
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
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- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 西浦氏が提示したモデルは「基本再生産数（1人の感染者が新たに2・5人の感染者を生むと想定）の値を ’2.5’にした設定」で行動制限しなければ 僅か「60日」で人口の約80％が約一億人が感染しそのうち0.4％が死亡すると42万人とした提言です 個人が手洗いうがいやユニバーサルマスクを行ったり、G7の中でもGDP比最大となるコロナ対策費を使って対策したから条件が変わるようなもので全くありません。 「コロナ対策費を使って対策をしていますのでその仮定条件が全く満たされていません」 などは見当違いの指摘です。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/000610566.pdf https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/000610566.pdf https://www.ktei.go.jp/jp/singi/novel_coronavirus/senmonkakaigi/sidai_r020302.pdf https://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2023/2023cj307.pdf
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