Birdwatch Note
2024-12-01 13:08:08 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
ワクチンの有効性は変異株や、時間経過とともに低下しました(例えば厚労省の下記の研究紹介を参照)。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/31_effective.pdf しかし、例えば21年前半に流行したアルファ株への有効性は、販売後データのメタアナリシスが報告されており、臨床試験に匹敵する有効性が、世界中で確認されています。 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-022-02397-y/figures/1 mRNAワクチンはアルファ変異への有効性が90.1%と本文にあります。 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-022-02397-y#Fig1 日本でもアルファ変異の時の2回接種後2週間以降の有効性は95%だった事が下記の表3-(b)で紹介されています(なお1回接種後2週間以内も有効性はマイナスではありません)。 https://www.niid.go.jp/niid/ja/2019-ncov/2484-idsc/10614-covid19-55.html
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- summary
- ワクチンの有効性は変異株や、時間経過とともに低下しました(例えば厚労省の下記の研究紹介を参照)。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/31_effective.pdf しかし、例えば21年前半に流行したアルファ株への有効性は、販売後データのメタアナリシスが報告されており、臨床試験に匹敵する有効性が、世界中で確認されています。 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-022-02397-y/figures/1 mRNAワクチンはアルファ変異への有効性が90.1%と本文にあります。 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-022-02397-y#Fig1 日本でもアルファ変異の時の2回接種後2週間以降の有効性は95%だった事が下記の表3-(b)で紹介されています(なお1回接種後2週間以内も有効性はマイナスではありません)。 https://www.niid.go.jp/niid/ja/2019-ncov/2484-idsc/10614-covid19-55.html
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