Birdwatch Note
2024-11-30 02:17:45 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
この主張は下記の動画1:20でファイザーの臨床試験の6か月間のアウトカムの話をしています https://x.com/Miyoko3329/status/1641272656526987264 まず、ここでケネディ氏は、ワクチン群の全死亡が20でプラセボ14、heart attackが5:1といっていますが、 実際は約22000人中、全死亡15:14、cardiac arrestが4:1です。これは↓のNEJMの報告補助資料の12pにあります https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMoa2110345/suppl_file/nejmoa2110345_appendix.pdf#page=12 またこの違いは単純なオッズ比でP値0.2以上で有意差の傾向すら存在しないため、偶然の違いとの判別ができていません(例えば心筋梗塞のようにワクチン群0：プラセボ２で有意差なくプラセボが多い疾患もあります）。 https://www.medcalc.org/calc/odds_ratio.php
Written by F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1862682399509029029
- noteId - 1862682399509029029
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1732933065665
- tweetId - 1862655513739280613
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 1
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- この主張は下記の動画1:20でファイザーの臨床試験の6か月間のアウトカムの話をしています https://x.com/Miyoko3329/status/1641272656526987264 まず、ここでケネディ氏は、ワクチン群の全死亡が20でプラセボ14、heart attackが5:1といっていますが、 実際は約22000人中、全死亡15:14、cardiac arrestが4:1です。これは↓のNEJMの報告補助資料の12pにあります https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMoa2110345/suppl_file/nejmoa2110345_appendix.pdf#page=12 またこの違いは単純なオッズ比でP値0.2以上で有意差の傾向すら存在しないため、偶然の違いとの判別ができていません(例えば心筋梗塞のようにワクチン群0：プラセボ２で有意差なくプラセボが多い疾患もあります）。 https://www.medcalc.org/calc/odds_ratio.php
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