Birdwatch Note
2024-11-26 05:30:28 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
異常死亡が40万～60万という類の話は日本が毎年2万人程ずつ死亡が長年自然増加し続け↓ https://www8.cao.go.jp/kisei-kaikaku/kaigi/meeting/2013/wg4/kenko/151224/item2-2-2.pdf それが続く事が国立人口問題研究所にも予測されていた↓事を考慮していない値です https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 噂の検証の一例↓ https://www.factcheckcenter.jp/fact-check/health/inaccurate_covid_vaccine_deaths_over_360k_after_start/ 例えば同研究所の2017年時の21-23年の死亡予測数は約144,146,148万で https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 実死亡数は144,157,159万なので↓ https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/nengai22/dl/gaikyouR4.pdf https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/s2023/dl/202312.pdf 予想との差は累計で22万程です https://iiif.elifesciences.org/lax/69336%2Felife-69336-fig4-v3.tif/full/1500,/0/default.jpg https://elifesciences.org/articles/69336 なおコロナ禍の超過死亡は基本的に特に冬季以外コロナ死以上の超過死亡が出る国でも流行に同期する事が報告済で https://iiif.elifesciences.org/lax/69336%2Felife-69336-fig4-v3.tif/full/1500,/0/default.jpg https://elifesciences.org/articles/69336 その後も下記等、日本を含め全世界でそれが確認され続けています https://github.com/hmatejx/COVID_mortality/blob/main/README.md https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker
Written by F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D
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- noteId - 1861281346800521312
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- noteAuthorParticipantId - F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D Participant Details
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- tweetId - 1861260902252855366
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
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- summary
- 異常死亡が40万～60万という類の話は日本が毎年2万人程ずつ死亡が長年自然増加し続け↓ https://www8.cao.go.jp/kisei-kaikaku/kaigi/meeting/2013/wg4/kenko/151224/item2-2-2.pdf それが続く事が国立人口問題研究所にも予測されていた↓事を考慮していない値です https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 噂の検証の一例↓ https://www.factcheckcenter.jp/fact-check/health/inaccurate_covid_vaccine_deaths_over_360k_after_start/ 例えば同研究所の2017年時の21-23年の死亡予測数は約144,146,148万で https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 実死亡数は144,157,159万なので↓ https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/nengai22/dl/gaikyouR4.pdf https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/s2023/dl/202312.pdf 予想との差は累計で22万程です https://iiif.elifesciences.org/lax/69336%2Felife-69336-fig4-v3.tif/full/1500,/0/default.jpg https://elifesciences.org/articles/69336 なおコロナ禍の超過死亡は基本的に特に冬季以外コロナ死以上の超過死亡が出る国でも流行に同期する事が報告済で https://iiif.elifesciences.org/lax/69336%2Felife-69336-fig4-v3.tif/full/1500,/0/default.jpg https://elifesciences.org/articles/69336 その後も下記等、日本を含め全世界でそれが確認され続けています https://github.com/hmatejx/COVID_mortality/blob/main/README.md https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker
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