Birdwatch Note
2024-11-16 17:06:05 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts like this perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 Fact-checks of user's history of earthquake-related misinformation: https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.inverse.com/science/earthquake-prediction-dutchsinse-holmquist-conspiracy
Written by 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1857789475515924976
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1857832524891959684
- noteId - 1857832524891959684
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1731776765450
- tweetId - 1857789475515924976
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts like this perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 Fact-checks of user's history of earthquake-related misinformation: https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.inverse.com/science/earthquake-prediction-dutchsinse-holmquist-conspiracy
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