Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-11-12 15:07:05 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

ワクチンと自閉症リスクの増加の関係はメタ解析でも関係性がみられていません https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X14006367?casa_token=oXGW2hUOdsQAAAAA:PgrylbrMEW3lZ_LaPlVfzdMFY0Ttt1jlClxwB6n5PO3xnTKdyn9LjYwDnfFtuhvQk4J-pumS5XM 過去には、自閉症や発達障害の診断が余り存在しなかった事と、過去にはワクチンが種類が少ない事を結び付けてワクチンとそれらを関係づける理屈には2つ誤謬があり 1つはそれらの診断数の時代変化の理由は診断基準の影響が大きいとされているためです↓ https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2021/04/18/fact-check-autism-diagnosis-changes-over-years-account-high-rate/7102414002/ もう1つは70年から単調変化を続けているものには コンピュータ技術の普及・発達や https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%A0%E3%83%BC%E3%82%A2%E3%81%AE%E6%B3%95%E5%89%87 生涯未婚率の増加 https://ifstudies.org/blog/the-share-of-never-married-americans-has-reached-a-new-high 乳児死亡率の低下 https://www.statista.com/statistics/1042370/united-states-all-time-infant-mortality-rate/ など無数の要因がありばらつきがなく単調な変化を続ける関数は何かの2つの物事の関係性の解明に適さないためです

Written by 41A6243EF0C5E2F69F5A0D4006A468F4F7CBEC237CAE6ACCC5FB56ED687492FE
Participant Details

Original Tweet

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All Information

  • ID - 1856353028062040191
  • noteId - 1856353028062040191
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 41A6243EF0C5E2F69F5A0D4006A468F4F7CBEC237CAE6ACCC5FB56ED687492FE Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1731424025918
  • tweetId - 1856327829543366788
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 1
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • ワクチンと自閉症リスクの増加の関係はメタ解析でも関係性がみられていません https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X14006367?casa_token=oXGW2hUOdsQAAAAA:PgrylbrMEW3lZ_LaPlVfzdMFY0Ttt1jlClxwB6n5PO3xnTKdyn9LjYwDnfFtuhvQk4J-pumS5XM 過去には、自閉症や発達障害の診断が余り存在しなかった事と、過去にはワクチンが種類が少ない事を結び付けてワクチンとそれらを関係づける理屈には2つ誤謬があり 1つはそれらの診断数の時代変化の理由は診断基準の影響が大きいとされているためです↓ https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2021/04/18/fact-check-autism-diagnosis-changes-over-years-account-high-rate/7102414002/ もう1つは70年から単調変化を続けているものには コンピュータ技術の普及・発達や https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%A0%E3%83%BC%E3%82%A2%E3%81%AE%E6%B3%95%E5%89%87 生涯未婚率の増加 https://ifstudies.org/blog/the-share-of-never-married-americans-has-reached-a-new-high 乳児死亡率の低下 https://www.statista.com/statistics/1042370/united-states-all-time-infant-mortality-rate/ など無数の要因がありばらつきがなく単調な変化を続ける関数は何かの2つの物事の関係性の解明に適さないためです

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