Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-11-07 23:50:15 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

AP calls races when "the trailing candidates no longer have a path to victory." The statistics do NOT require every vote to be counted first. https://www.ap.org/elections/our-role/how-we-call-races/#:~:text=Only%20when%20AP%20is%20fully%20confident%20a%20race%20has%20been%20won%20%E2%80%93%20defined%20most%20simply%20as%20the%20moment%20the%20trailing%20candidates%20no%20longer%20have%20a%20path%20to%20victory%20%E2%80%93%20will%20we%20make%20a%20call Decision Desk similarly makes calls "when it can determine statistically that one candidate’s lead is insurmountable." https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/election-projections-how-work-nbc-news-decision-desk-rcna177886#:~:text=NBC%20News%20only%20calls%20a%20race%20after%20the%20last%20scheduled%20statewide%20poll%2Dclosing%20time%20in%20that%20race%2C%20and%20when%20it%20can%20determine%20statistically%20that%20one%20candidate%E2%80%99s%20lead%20is%20insurmountable

Written by AE2BFC408A40E844D958518E3823636E7C856D5F6CEE6CFBC099BBA9FC35474A
Participant Details

All Information

• ID - 1854672747504550154
• noteId - 1854672747504550154
• participantId -
• noteAuthorParticipantId - AE2BFC408A40E844D958518E3823636E7C856D5F6CEE6CFBC099BBA9FC35474A Participant Details
• createdAtMillis - 1731023415815
• tweetId - 1854646408131100910
• classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
• believable -
• harmful -
• validationDifficulty -
• misleadingOther - 0
• misleadingFactualError - 0
• misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
• misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
• misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
• misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
• misleadingSatire - 0
• notMisleadingOther - 0
• notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
• notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
• notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
• notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
• trustworthySources - 1
• summary
• AP calls races when "the trailing candidates no longer have a path to victory." The statistics do NOT require every vote to be counted first. https://www.ap.org/elections/our-role/how-we-call-races/#:~:text=Only%20when%20AP%20is%20fully%20confident%20a%20race%20has%20been%20won%20%E2%80%93%20defined%20most%20simply%20as%20the%20moment%20the%20trailing%20candidates%20no%20longer%20have%20a%20path%20to%20victory%20%E2%80%93%20will%20we%20make%20a%20call Decision Desk similarly makes calls "when it can determine statistically that one candidate’s lead is insurmountable." https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/election-projections-how-work-nbc-news-decision-desk-rcna177886#:~:text=NBC%20News%20only%20calls%20a%20race%20after%20the%20last%20scheduled%20statewide%20poll%2Dclosing%20time%20in%20that%20race%2C%20and%20when%20it%20can%20determine%20statistically%20that%20one%20candidate%E2%80%99s%20lead%20is%20insurmountable