Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-11-06 17:12:27 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

この37倍の根拠は下記で原典を見れ、治験で1万人あたり①HPVワクチン群で8.5人の死亡②対照群で7.2人が死亡、③子宮頸がんで死ぬ確率は0.23人なので①対③で37倍との噂です。 https://x.com/yuko_candida/status/1699607027960717321 この試験でもHPVワクチンと対照群(プラセボ群です、下記参照)の死亡率の差は単純なオッズ比でみてもp値0.76程で有意差とは程遠いですし(https://www.medcalc.org/calc/odds_ratio.php)、これらの死者は全て治験薬とは関係は見られず、死因が自動車事故の死までこの①や②に含まれている(下記箇所参照)という雑な噂です。 https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/rr5602a1.htm#:~:text=In%20the%20overall%20 23の臨床試験のメタ解析でもHPVワクチン群とプラセボ群の間には死亡率の有意差はありません。 https://www.cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.1002/14651858.CD009069.pub3/full/ja

Written by 41A6243EF0C5E2F69F5A0D4006A468F4F7CBEC237CAE6ACCC5FB56ED687492FE
Participant Details

Original Tweet

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All Information

  • ID - 1854210248535687341
  • noteId - 1854210248535687341
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 41A6243EF0C5E2F69F5A0D4006A468F4F7CBEC237CAE6ACCC5FB56ED687492FE Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1730913147468
  • tweetId - 1854130400420831461
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 1
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • この37倍の根拠は下記で原典を見れ、治験で1万人あたり①HPVワクチン群で8.5人の死亡②対照群で7.2人が死亡、③子宮頸がんで死ぬ確率は0.23人なので①対③で37倍との噂です。 https://x.com/yuko_candida/status/1699607027960717321 この試験でもHPVワクチンと対照群(プラセボ群です、下記参照)の死亡率の差は単純なオッズ比でみてもp値0.76程で有意差とは程遠いですし(https://www.medcalc.org/calc/odds_ratio.php)、これらの死者は全て治験薬とは関係は見られず、死因が自動車事故の死までこの①や②に含まれている(下記箇所参照)という雑な噂です。 https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/rr5602a1.htm#:~:text=In%20the%20overall%20 23の臨床試験のメタ解析でもHPVワクチン群とプラセボ群の間には死亡率の有意差はありません。 https://www.cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.1002/14651858.CD009069.pub3/full/ja

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