Birdwatch Note
2024-10-25 16:17:46 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
出口調査を行っているNHKによると「出口調査では、その結果が投票者の“縮図”となるよう調査します。 このため、各投票所では、それぞれ一定の間隔をあけて投票者に質問します。」 「投票所から出てくる人すべてに質問していると、調査結果に偏りが生じないとも限りません。」とされています。 https://www.nhk.or.jp/hokkaido/articles/slug-nf75a962fdeb6/ データ数が多くても標本の抽出方法に偏りがあると正しい予測にならないことがあります。 https://www.mgt.ous.ac.jp/about/management/lecture/lecture_d-02/
Written by F3BFFD649A0D7C2B6CFCE26276C3222C1D72BE1321718F2661209C8A194A859C
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- ID - 1849847831009558889
- noteId - 1849847831009558889
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- noteAuthorParticipantId - F3BFFD649A0D7C2B6CFCE26276C3222C1D72BE1321718F2661209C8A194A859C Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1729873066081
- tweetId - 1849729078284386675
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
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- summary
- 出口調査を行っているNHKによると「出口調査では、その結果が投票者の“縮図”となるよう調査します。 このため、各投票所では、それぞれ一定の間隔をあけて投票者に質問します。」 「投票所から出てくる人すべてに質問していると、調査結果に偏りが生じないとも限りません。」とされています。 https://www.nhk.or.jp/hokkaido/articles/slug-nf75a962fdeb6/ データ数が多くても標本の抽出方法に偏りがあると正しい予測にならないことがあります。 https://www.mgt.ous.ac.jp/about/management/lecture/lecture_d-02/
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