Birdwatch Note
2024-10-23 07:29:59 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
誤解を招く図です ECDD等の基準で20-23年の超過死亡は累積で60万とありますがOCDCのこの簡便な基準は15-19年の平均(17年頃)との比較です↓ https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/docserver/da81eb89-en.pdf?expires=1729668636&id=id&accname=guest&checksum=098D982F193800C467E62946EEDC1AA5 日本は毎年2万死亡が増え続ける事が国立研究所に予想されていたので↓この数は異常死数ではありません https://www8.cao.go.jp/kisei-kaikaku/kaigi/meeting/2013/wg4/kenko/151224/item2-2-2.pdf 一例で例えば同研究所の17年時の21-23年の死亡予測数は約144,146,148万で https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 実死亡数は144,157,159万でした https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/nengai22/dl/gaikyouR4.pdf https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/s2023/dl/202312.pdf なお過去の傾向以上の超過死亡は感染症の流行に応じて明らかに発生し https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/001024263.pdf https://github.com/hmatejx/COVID_mortality https://iiif.elifesciences.org/lax/69336%2Felife-69336-fig4-v3.tif/full/1500,/0/default.jpg https://github.com/hmatejx/COVID_mortality https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker 年齢調整後の累積超過死亡は高度に低接種率と関係した事が報告済です https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanepe/article/PIIS2666-7762(24)00163-7/fulltext#app-1
Written by F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D
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- summary
- 誤解を招く図です ECDD等の基準で20-23年の超過死亡は累積で60万とありますがOCDCのこの簡便な基準は15-19年の平均(17年頃)との比較です↓ https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/docserver/da81eb89-en.pdf?expires=1729668636&id=id&accname=guest&checksum=098D982F193800C467E62946EEDC1AA5 日本は毎年2万死亡が増え続ける事が国立研究所に予想されていたので↓この数は異常死数ではありません https://www8.cao.go.jp/kisei-kaikaku/kaigi/meeting/2013/wg4/kenko/151224/item2-2-2.pdf 一例で例えば同研究所の17年時の21-23年の死亡予測数は約144,146,148万で https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 実死亡数は144,157,159万でした https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/nengai22/dl/gaikyouR4.pdf https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/s2023/dl/202312.pdf なお過去の傾向以上の超過死亡は感染症の流行に応じて明らかに発生し https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10900000/001024263.pdf https://github.com/hmatejx/COVID_mortality https://iiif.elifesciences.org/lax/69336%2Felife-69336-fig4-v3.tif/full/1500,/0/default.jpg https://github.com/hmatejx/COVID_mortality https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker 年齢調整後の累積超過死亡は高度に低接種率と関係した事が報告済です https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanepe/article/PIIS2666-7762(24)00163-7/fulltext#app-1
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