Birdwatch Note
2024-10-20 20:28:41 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
As of the date of this post, Oct 20, Nate Silver's model gives Donald Trump a 53.1% probability of winning the electoral college, not 93.2%. https://x.com/Politics_Polls/status/1848085840670695790?s=19
Written by 7A6E1A2DD0BDFDC67ACC042CBE8F2D4AC7882C98854C23EA6E397419434F28CD
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1848099038866162129
- noteId - 1848099038866162129
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 7A6E1A2DD0BDFDC67ACC042CBE8F2D4AC7882C98854C23EA6E397419434F28CD Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1729456121542
- tweetId - 1847985707723157707
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- As of the date of this post, Oct 20, Nate Silver's model gives Donald Trump a 53.1% probability of winning the electoral college, not 93.2%. https://x.com/Politics_Polls/status/1848085840670695790?s=19
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