Birdwatch Note
2024-10-17 19:36:32 UTC - NOT_MISLEADING
NNN - Polymarket talks about odds, not polls. It’s their estimate/opinion. Also, the proposed note states that polymarket has varying accuracy and uses project 538 as a reliable source. Even though that same organisation claimed a 71% chance Hilary Clinton would win in 2016. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Written by E1FFF4B7D9E2448611423B74626B9BB1B42CA4B88C081AFA8859F6B9E5D62F5C
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1846940848274968600
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1846998750620741781
- noteId - 1846998750620741781
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - E1FFF4B7D9E2448611423B74626B9BB1B42CA4B88C081AFA8859F6B9E5D62F5C Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1729193792382
- tweetId - 1846940848274968600
- classification - NOT_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 1
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- NNN - Polymarket talks about odds, not polls. It’s their estimate/opinion. Also, the proposed note states that polymarket has varying accuracy and uses project 538 as a reliable source. Even though that same organisation claimed a 71% chance Hilary Clinton would win in 2016. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
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