Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-10-16 15:16:12 UTC - NOT_MISLEADING

NNN. Betting markets have been shown to be a better depiction of the state of a race than polling. Kalshi is a U.S. based prediction market that is not based on crypto and shows a similar likelihood of a Trump win. https://kalshi.com/elections

Written by 41FAAFAEA7A6662C4B5A44E32F33C0D922EC09BAE8F4706540CEA0CAFC48DB9B
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1846549419300098135

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1846570848301220195
  • noteId - 1846570848301220195
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 41FAAFAEA7A6662C4B5A44E32F33C0D922EC09BAE8F4706540CEA0CAFC48DB9B Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1729091772520
  • tweetId - 1846549419300098135
  • classification - NOT_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 0
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 1
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 1
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • NNN. Betting markets have been shown to be a better depiction of the state of a race than polling. Kalshi is a U.S. based prediction market that is not based on crypto and shows a similar likelihood of a Trump win. https://kalshi.com/elections