Birdwatch Note
2024-10-07 20:38:02 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
Extra context: It appears this sudden move is caused by manipulation by whales. No significant events happened from either Trump or Harris. Previously elections odds have been manipulated for personal gains. https://protos.com/did-a-polymarket-trader-rig-election-odds-for-a-side-bet/ https://x.com/SwannMarcus89/status/1843382352766189575 https://rajivsethi.substack.com/p/a-failed-attempt-at-prediction-market https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/06/very-interesting-failed-attempt-at-manipulation-on-polymarket-today/ PredictIt has Harris slightly leading still https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
Written by 130F3DA64ACE4408518ABC123B2E99767F473C61C8575BE703030B2625648CDB
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1843330348438225285
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All Information
- ID - 1843390350955618560
- noteId - 1843390350955618560
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 130F3DA64ACE4408518ABC123B2E99767F473C61C8575BE703030B2625648CDB Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1728333482862
- tweetId - 1843330348438225285
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- Extra context: It appears this sudden move is caused by manipulation by whales. No significant events happened from either Trump or Harris. Previously elections odds have been manipulated for personal gains. https://protos.com/did-a-polymarket-trader-rig-election-odds-for-a-side-bet/ https://x.com/SwannMarcus89/status/1843382352766189575 https://rajivsethi.substack.com/p/a-failed-attempt-at-prediction-market https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/06/very-interesting-failed-attempt-at-manipulation-on-polymarket-today/ PredictIt has Harris slightly leading still https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
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