Birdwatch Note
2024-10-04 00:10:00 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
【分母過小による誤分析】 接種回数が多いほど死亡率が下がる点に疑問を持ちましょう。 2回接種後死亡数は①死ななければ3回接種した人と②死ななくても2回止まりの人の合計です。 この母集団は2回以上総数なので、3回接種を除外した2回止まり総数で割ると分母過小となり、見かけ上の死亡率が激増します。 同様の現象は未接種にもあり、令和2年の人口動態調査の十万人当たりの年死亡率は70代1760人、80代5390人、90代15430人ですが、小島勢二の未接種グラフではそれぞれが3倍近くに激増しています https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/nengai20/index.html 浜松市の老人は全国平均より3倍近くも死にやすいのでしょうか?
Written by 7A9FF9E0AC22B46DA9E28988C69E88AB84BA7BDC51EFDA1B44D021A9037A2442
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- ID - 1841994141900943813
- noteId - 1841994141900943813
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- noteAuthorParticipantId - 7A9FF9E0AC22B46DA9E28988C69E88AB84BA7BDC51EFDA1B44D021A9037A2442 Participant Details
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- tweetId - 1841868852290027686
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
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- summary
- 【分母過小による誤分析】 接種回数が多いほど死亡率が下がる点に疑問を持ちましょう。 2回接種後死亡数は①死ななければ3回接種した人と②死ななくても2回止まりの人の合計です。 この母集団は2回以上総数なので、3回接種を除外した2回止まり総数で割ると分母過小となり、見かけ上の死亡率が激増します。 同様の現象は未接種にもあり、令和2年の人口動態調査の十万人当たりの年死亡率は70代1760人、80代5390人、90代15430人ですが、小島勢二の未接種グラフではそれぞれが3倍近くに激増しています https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/nengai20/index.html 浜松市の老人は全国平均より3倍近くも死にやすいのでしょうか?
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