Birdwatch Note
2024-07-11 07:41:20 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
何ら根拠のないデマです 海外の大きな地震が日本の地震活動に影響を与える可能性を物理的・統計的に示した人はいません 一方で,統計的には関係がないと示した研究はありますhttps://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/zisin/76/0/76_2022-17/_article/-char/ja 実際,パプアニューギニア周辺では毎年何度もM6.5以上の地震が起きますが,日本で何度も大地震が起きたりはしないので全く対応していません https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-45.70618,79.10156&extent=27.29369,214.27734&range=search&timeZone=utc&search=%7B%22name%22:%22Search%20Results%22,%22params%22:%7B%22starttime%22:%222010-01-01%2000:00:00%22,%22endtime%22:%222019-12-31%2023:59:59%22,%22maxlatitude%22:2.125,%22minlatitude%22:-12.538,%22maxlongitude%22:155.742,%22minlongitude%22:128.848,%22minmagnitude%22:6.5,%22orderby%22:%22time%22%7D%7D 日本でM3~4クラスの地震は毎日10回程度は起きます https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9 頻度が高いものは何かが起きてから間もないタイミングで発生することは何らおかしくなく,物理的または統計的な証明を行わずに関係があるとするのは単なる前後即因果の誤謬で何ら意味がありません https://globis.jp/article/1847/
Written by 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1811304752304869599
- noteId - 1811304752304869599
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1720683680021
- tweetId - 1811265207387181535
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 何ら根拠のないデマです 海外の大きな地震が日本の地震活動に影響を与える可能性を物理的・統計的に示した人はいません 一方で,統計的には関係がないと示した研究はありますhttps://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/zisin/76/0/76_2022-17/_article/-char/ja 実際,パプアニューギニア周辺では毎年何度もM6.5以上の地震が起きますが,日本で何度も大地震が起きたりはしないので全く対応していません https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-45.70618,79.10156&extent=27.29369,214.27734&range=search&timeZone=utc&search=%7B%22name%22:%22Search%20Results%22,%22params%22:%7B%22starttime%22:%222010-01-01%2000:00:00%22,%22endtime%22:%222019-12-31%2023:59:59%22,%22maxlatitude%22:2.125,%22minlatitude%22:-12.538,%22maxlongitude%22:155.742,%22minlongitude%22:128.848,%22minmagnitude%22:6.5,%22orderby%22:%22time%22%7D%7D 日本でM3~4クラスの地震は毎日10回程度は起きます https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9 頻度が高いものは何かが起きてから間もないタイミングで発生することは何らおかしくなく,物理的または統計的な証明を行わずに関係があるとするのは単なる前後即因果の誤謬で何ら意味がありません https://globis.jp/article/1847/
Note Status History
createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
2024-07-11 07:41:20 UTC (1720683680021) |
2024-07-11 20:45:27 UTC (1720730727049) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-07-14 02:45:42 UTC (1720925142742) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-07-11 20:45:27 UTC (1720730727049) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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