Birdwatch Note
2024-05-21 02:09:40 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
昨日の投稿内容通りとの主張には裏付けがありません 元の投稿https://x.com/kirinjisinken/status/1792526192760979952 には根拠（物理的or統計的な証明と，第三者による検証・再現が可能な情報）がありません 場所が日本全国・海外，時期と規模が不明といった緩い条件では全くの適当でもまぐれ当たりします https://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf 数日に１度程度発しするM6クラスの頻度を踏まえれば，投稿から数日以内に世界の何処かで発生するのはまぐれ当たりの域を出ません https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9 例えば次のように「ランダムに予測した場合と比較して有意差はあるか」を調べるといった客観的評価を行わずに対応したと主張するのは論理の飛躍で，何ら立証されていない主張です https://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/36_39-46orihara.pdf
Written by 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1792739507407827135
- noteId - 1792739507407827135
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1716257380711
- tweetId - 1792726889964151205
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 昨日の投稿内容通りとの主張には裏付けがありません 元の投稿https://x.com/kirinjisinken/status/1792526192760979952 には根拠（物理的or統計的な証明と，第三者による検証・再現が可能な情報）がありません 場所が日本全国・海外，時期と規模が不明といった緩い条件では全くの適当でもまぐれ当たりします https://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf 数日に１度程度発しするM6クラスの頻度を踏まえれば，投稿から数日以内に世界の何処かで発生するのはまぐれ当たりの域を出ません https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9 例えば次のように「ランダムに予測した場合と比較して有意差はあるか」を調べるといった客観的評価を行わずに対応したと主張するのは論理の飛躍で，何ら立証されていない主張です https://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/36_39-46orihara.pdf
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2024-05-21 02:09:40 UTC (1716257380711) |
2024-05-21 10:41:23 UTC (1716288083504) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-05-22 01:14:11 UTC (1716340451856) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-05-21 10:41:23 UTC (1716288083504) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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