Birdwatch Note
2024-04-16 02:37:24 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
計算の根拠が一切示されていないデマです M4クラスの地震は毎日起きているので，規模を書かず全国を対象にすれば外れることはありません https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9 条件を曖昧にしてまぐれ当たりを稼ぐ，以下の文献にもあるデマの典型的なトリックです https://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf 大地震は頻度が低いのでまぐれ当たりは起きにくく，予測に成功したことはありません．100%起きると言って外れています https://web.archive.org/web/20221202065302/https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1598359845446352896 https://megalodon.jp/2024-0112-1157-30/https://twitter.com:443/earthquakejapan/status/1741117647691927851 大地震はデマと無関係に起きるので，いつ起きても良いように日頃からの備えが重要です．デマを垂れ流すアカウントをフォローしても効果はありません
Written by 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1780062909235929510
- noteId - 1780062909235929510
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1713235044190
- tweetId - 1780027924348858720
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 計算の根拠が一切示されていないデマです M4クラスの地震は毎日起きているので，規模を書かず全国を対象にすれば外れることはありません https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9 条件を曖昧にしてまぐれ当たりを稼ぐ，以下の文献にもあるデマの典型的なトリックです https://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf 大地震は頻度が低いのでまぐれ当たりは起きにくく，予測に成功したことはありません．100%起きると言って外れています https://web.archive.org/web/20221202065302/https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1598359845446352896 https://megalodon.jp/2024-0112-1157-30/https://twitter.com:443/earthquakejapan/status/1741117647691927851 大地震はデマと無関係に起きるので，いつ起きても良いように日頃からの備えが重要です．デマを垂れ流すアカウントをフォローしても効果はありません
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2024-04-16 02:37:24 UTC (1713235044190) |
2024-04-16 11:49:39 UTC (1713268179496) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-04-17 03:00:06 UTC (1713322806266) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-04-16 11:49:39 UTC (1713268179496) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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