Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-04-15 01:11:56 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

ポストはパプア・ニューギニアでの地震発生を予測したかのように書いていますが、「海外の大きな地震に注意必要」という国外の全ての場所を対象にしたものでした。 https://twitter.com/kirinjisinken/status/1779514911238066624 世界の地震回数の年間平均は、M5.0以上で1471回です(1990年以降)。 https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9 1日平均で4回発生しており「海外の大きな地震に注意必要」と言っておけば、ほぼ確実に的中します。 気象庁では地震予測を「(時)一週間以内に、(場所)東京直下で、(大きさ)マグニチュード6~7の地震が発生する」などと限定する必要があり、現在の科学的知見からはそのような確度の高い予測は困難と考えています。 https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq24.html

Written by 22F149AE0AB24E887FD1A9D870D34A4E9FA8E98F0A96FA98832F90C9E5991723
Participant Details

Original Tweet

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All Information

  • ID - 1779679014355120270
  • noteId - 1779679014355120270
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 22F149AE0AB24E887FD1A9D870D34A4E9FA8E98F0A96FA98832F90C9E5991723 Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1713143516516
  • tweetId - 1779674225315659796
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 0
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • ポストはパプア・ニューギニアでの地震発生を予測したかのように書いていますが、「海外の大きな地震に注意必要」という国外の全ての場所を対象にしたものでした。 https://twitter.com/kirinjisinken/status/1779514911238066624 世界の地震回数の年間平均は、M5.0以上で1471回です(1990年以降)。 https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9 1日平均で4回発生しており「海外の大きな地震に注意必要」と言っておけば、ほぼ確実に的中します。 気象庁では地震予測を「(時)一週間以内に、(場所)東京直下で、(大きさ)マグニチュード6~7の地震が発生する」などと限定する必要があり、現在の科学的知見からはそのような確度の高い予測は困難と考えています。 https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq24.html

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2024-04-15 01:11:56 UTC
(1713143516516)
2024-04-15 08:24:48 UTC
(1713169488459)
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL 2024-04-16 03:20:25 UTC
(1713237625718)
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL 2024-04-15 08:24:48 UTC
(1713169488459)
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL

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