Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-03-25 15:30:53 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

本ポストは「当確」(当選確実)を開票結果による当選確定と混同しています。 当確は予想であり、出口調査や事前の調査をもとに、統計学を使って出します。その結果次第で開票率が0%でも報道機関が当確を出せることがあり、それは不正選挙ではありません。 選挙の出口調査の信頼性とは!当選確実を出すカラクリとは? https://allabout.co.jp/gm/gc/449898/ 選挙速報で開票率1%なのに当確が出るしくみ 意外なところで使われている統計学 https://www.njg.co.jp/post-23476/ 選挙速報が開票率0%でも「当確」出せる納得の訳 メディアの出口調査はどう活用されているのか https://toyokeizai.net/articles/-/641470

Written by A71C7604A85D2B14280723049D0EF96C5A4BA60970EA8E9221AD0EDA5AC6FEC2
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1772088894365860024

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All Information

  • ID - 1772285029038616774
  • noteId - 1772285029038616774
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - A71C7604A85D2B14280723049D0EF96C5A4BA60970EA8E9221AD0EDA5AC6FEC2 Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1711380653043
  • tweetId - 1772088894365860024
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • 本ポストは「当確」(当選確実)を開票結果による当選確定と混同しています。 当確は予想であり、出口調査や事前の調査をもとに、統計学を使って出します。その結果次第で開票率が0%でも報道機関が当確を出せることがあり、それは不正選挙ではありません。 選挙の出口調査の信頼性とは!当選確実を出すカラクリとは? https://allabout.co.jp/gm/gc/449898/ 選挙速報で開票率1%なのに当確が出るしくみ 意外なところで使われている統計学 https://www.njg.co.jp/post-23476/ 選挙速報が開票率0%でも「当確」出せる納得の訳 メディアの出口調査はどう活用されているのか https://toyokeizai.net/articles/-/641470

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2024-03-25 15:30:53 UTC
(1711380653043)
2024-03-26 01:51:12 UTC
(1711417872775)
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL 2024-03-26 03:28:55 UTC
(1711423735421)
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL 2024-03-26 01:51:12 UTC
(1711417872775)
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL

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