Birdwatch Note
2024-02-14 15:11:37 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
何ら根拠はなく，まぐれ当たり以上の実績もありません． 巨大地震の場合には直前に電離層に変動が見られることが報告されていますが，M8を超えるような大きな地震の「数十分前程度」の話です． また，巨大地震の前と同程度の変動は巨大地震が無いときにも頻繁に発生しており，電離層の状態を見て地震が起きる/起きないを予想することはできないというのが現在分かっていることです． 既往の研究と本画像の関連も不明です． https://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/sympo/kicho1.pdf 想定される地震の規模や場所を書かないのは，小さな地震でまぐれ当たりを稼ぐデマの常套手段です． https://web.archive.org/web/20230614171328/http://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf
Written by 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1757784668878012751
- noteId - 1757784668878012751
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1707923497777
- tweetId - 1757775524229988659
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 何ら根拠はなく，まぐれ当たり以上の実績もありません． 巨大地震の場合には直前に電離層に変動が見られることが報告されていますが，M8を超えるような大きな地震の「数十分前程度」の話です． また，巨大地震の前と同程度の変動は巨大地震が無いときにも頻繁に発生しており，電離層の状態を見て地震が起きる/起きないを予想することはできないというのが現在分かっていることです． 既往の研究と本画像の関連も不明です． https://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/sympo/kicho1.pdf 想定される地震の規模や場所を書かないのは，小さな地震でまぐれ当たりを稼ぐデマの常套手段です． https://web.archive.org/web/20230614171328/http://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2024-02-14 15:11:37 UTC (1707923497777) |
2024-02-14 19:17:45 UTC (1707938265977) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-02-15 02:40:09 UTC (1707964809976) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-02-14 19:17:45 UTC (1707938265977) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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