Birdwatch Note
2024-02-04 14:17:27 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
日本では出荷開始日が早いほど報告頻度が高く、納入数が極端に少ないものを除けばほぼ同一曲線上に並びます https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10601000/001091644.pdf これはロット間格差とは矛盾し、Weber effectによる報告バイアスとは矛盾しません https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.292.14.1702 また、接種日別の報告頻度が下がり切った時期にも報告頻度の高いロットが使われていることや接種開始直後の報告頻度がその前に出荷開始されたどのロットの報告頻度よりも高いこともロット間格差と矛盾します。報告医が「関連なし」「関連あり」とした報告の頻度変化はWeber effectを裏付けていそうです。 字数不足で説明しきれない部分は以下を参照してください https://togetter.com/li/2174198
Written by EE7192EF0B1C47D8A3430C3E070DA2A0BFAA58717F9133404318E9D7666B1A00
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1754147158457274602
- noteId - 1754147158457274602
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - EE7192EF0B1C47D8A3430C3E070DA2A0BFAA58717F9133404318E9D7666B1A00 Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1707056247713
- tweetId - 1754131650953498782
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
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- misleadingFactualError - 1
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- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 日本では出荷開始日が早いほど報告頻度が高く、納入数が極端に少ないものを除けばほぼ同一曲線上に並びます https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10601000/001091644.pdf これはロット間格差とは矛盾し、Weber effectによる報告バイアスとは矛盾しません https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.292.14.1702 また、接種日別の報告頻度が下がり切った時期にも報告頻度の高いロットが使われていることや接種開始直後の報告頻度がその前に出荷開始されたどのロットの報告頻度よりも高いこともロット間格差と矛盾します。報告医が「関連なし」「関連あり」とした報告の頻度変化はWeber effectを裏付けていそうです。 字数不足で説明しきれない部分は以下を参照してください https://togetter.com/li/2174198
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2024-02-04 14:17:27 UTC (1707056247713) |
2024-02-05 04:45:51 UTC (1707108351304) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-02-07 00:47:28 UTC (1707266848650) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 2024-02-05 04:45:51 UTC (1707108351304) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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