Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-12-29 04:01:38 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

まずファイザーの治験で接種群とプラセボ群の半年間の非コロナ死者数は母集団が同じ時期では約22000人中、14名と12名で1223人ではないです(下記表S4) https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMoa2110345/suppl_file/nejmoa2110345_appendix.pdf この差は単純なオッズ比でp値0.7程で統計的傾向すら存在しません https://www.medcalc.org/calc/odds_ratio.php コロナ禍の超過死亡は世界中でコロナ死亡と高度に同期している事が下記でモニタリングされ https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker 学術報告もされています↓ https://iiif.elifesciences.org/lax/69336%2Felife-69336-fig4-v3.tif/full/1500,/0/default.jpg 一方でそうした一貫性のある関連は接種とは見られず https://medicalfacts.info/infect.rb?c=%E9%9F%93%E5%9B%BD%2C%E5%8F%B0%E6%B9%BE%2CGermany%2CNorway%2CJapan%2CSweden%2C%E3%83%8B%E3%83%A5%E3%83%BC%E3%82%B8%E3%83%BC%E3%83%A9%E3%83%B3%E3%83%89%2C%E3%83%87%E3%83%B3%E3%83%9E%E3%83%BC%E3%82%AF&from=2021-01-01&to=2022-10-25&new_vaccinations_smoothed_per_million=true&excess_mortality=true&two=true&l=ja&i=false 例えばNZでは接種と超過死亡推移は負相関の同期をしています https://medicalfacts.info/infect.rb?c=New+Zealand&from=2021-01-01&to=2023-04-25&new_cases_smoothed=true&new_vaccinations_smoothed_per_million=true&excess_mortality=true&two=true&l=ja&i=false https://neko-inc.net/c19/ また低接種率は高度に超過死亡と負相関した事が学術報告されています https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article-abstract/2798990

Written by F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D
Participant Details

Original Tweet

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All Information

  • ID - 1740583830992605425
  • noteId - 1740583830992605425
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1703822498450
  • tweetId - 1740525207226610170
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 1
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • まずファイザーの治験で接種群とプラセボ群の半年間の非コロナ死者数は母集団が同じ時期では約22000人中、14名と12名で1223人ではないです(下記表S4) https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMoa2110345/suppl_file/nejmoa2110345_appendix.pdf この差は単純なオッズ比でp値0.7程で統計的傾向すら存在しません https://www.medcalc.org/calc/odds_ratio.php コロナ禍の超過死亡は世界中でコロナ死亡と高度に同期している事が下記でモニタリングされ https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker 学術報告もされています↓ https://iiif.elifesciences.org/lax/69336%2Felife-69336-fig4-v3.tif/full/1500,/0/default.jpg 一方でそうした一貫性のある関連は接種とは見られず https://medicalfacts.info/infect.rb?c=%E9%9F%93%E5%9B%BD%2C%E5%8F%B0%E6%B9%BE%2CGermany%2CNorway%2CJapan%2CSweden%2C%E3%83%8B%E3%83%A5%E3%83%BC%E3%82%B8%E3%83%BC%E3%83%A9%E3%83%B3%E3%83%89%2C%E3%83%87%E3%83%B3%E3%83%9E%E3%83%BC%E3%82%AF&from=2021-01-01&to=2022-10-25&new_vaccinations_smoothed_per_million=true&excess_mortality=true&two=true&l=ja&i=false 例えばNZでは接種と超過死亡推移は負相関の同期をしています https://medicalfacts.info/infect.rb?c=New+Zealand&from=2021-01-01&to=2023-04-25&new_cases_smoothed=true&new_vaccinations_smoothed_per_million=true&excess_mortality=true&two=true&l=ja&i=false https://neko-inc.net/c19/ また低接種率は高度に超過死亡と負相関した事が学術報告されています https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article-abstract/2798990

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-12-29 04:01:38 UTC
(1703822498450)		 2023-12-29 10:17:19 UTC
(1703845039223)		 CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL 2023-12-30 01:36:08 UTC
(1703900168817)		 NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 2023-12-29 10:17:19 UTC
(1703845039223)		 CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL

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