Birdwatch Note
2023-12-25 02:52:15 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
まず今年の10月までの死亡数は速報で134万人で前年は132万人なので毎月2万人は増えていません。 https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&layout=datalist&toukei=00450011&tstat=000001028897&cycle=1&year=20230&month=24101210&tclass1=000001053058&tclass2=000001053059 次にコロナ禍前の毎年2万人程度の増加傾向からどれだけ増えたかという意味でも17年に年2万強で予測された2022,23年の死亡数は146,148.2万人で↓ https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 昨年の死亡数は157万↓なので毎月2万人増加のペースでもありません。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/m2022/dl/all0412.pdf 17,18,19年の死者は134万136万138万↓なので19年から年2万を足しても同様です。 https://www.e-stat.go.jp/dbview?sid=0003411561 our world in dataでも今年1-8月の日本のコロナ禍前の推移からの超過死亡数は6.2万とされています。 https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&country=~JPN&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&hideControls=true&Metric=Excess+mortality+%28count%29&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=false&Color+by+test+positivity=false
Written by F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1739116818902794263
- noteId - 1739116818902794263
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1703472735511
- tweetId - 1739082209171271845
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 1
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- まず今年の10月までの死亡数は速報で134万人で前年は132万人なので毎月2万人は増えていません。 https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&layout=datalist&toukei=00450011&tstat=000001028897&cycle=1&year=20230&month=24101210&tclass1=000001053058&tclass2=000001053059 次にコロナ禍前の毎年2万人程度の増加傾向からどれだけ増えたかという意味でも17年に年2万強で予測された2022,23年の死亡数は146,148.2万人で↓ https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 昨年の死亡数は157万↓なので毎月2万人増加のペースでもありません。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/m2022/dl/all0412.pdf 17,18,19年の死者は134万136万138万↓なので19年から年2万を足しても同様です。 https://www.e-stat.go.jp/dbview?sid=0003411561 our world in dataでも今年1-8月の日本のコロナ禍前の推移からの超過死亡数は6.2万とされています。 https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&country=~JPN&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&hideControls=true&Metric=Excess+mortality+%28count%29&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=false&Color+by+test+positivity=false
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-12-25 02:52:15 UTC (1703472735511) |
2023-12-25 09:00:26 UTC (1703494826427) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2023-12-26 02:01:21 UTC (1703556081666) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2023-12-25 09:00:26 UTC (1703494826427) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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