Birdwatch Note
2023-11-22 12:32:14 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
「バヌアツの法則」が観測データと一致しない都市伝説，つまり嘘であることは既に示されています． https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/zisin/76/0/76_2022-17/_article/-char/ja 論文では過去30年間のMw6.0以上の全ての地震について １．日本の地震の発生間隔がバヌアツで地震が起きる場合とそれ以外で変化するか ２．２地域の地震発生間隔が，日本→バヌアツよりもバヌアツ→日本の順番の時に短くなるか の２通りで評価が行われ，有意な差は無いことが示されました． バヌアツ→日本の順で地震が起きたケースだけを集めて（チェリーピッキング）関連があるかのように見せかけるサイトや，それを鵜呑みにして嘘を広める人には注意が必要です．
Written by 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA
Participant Details
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All Information
- ID - 1727303977757544519
- noteId - 1727303977757544519
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1700656334709
- tweetId - 1727278775560519862
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 「バヌアツの法則」が観測データと一致しない都市伝説，つまり嘘であることは既に示されています． https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/zisin/76/0/76_2022-17/_article/-char/ja 論文では過去30年間のMw6.0以上の全ての地震について １．日本の地震の発生間隔がバヌアツで地震が起きる場合とそれ以外で変化するか ２．２地域の地震発生間隔が，日本→バヌアツよりもバヌアツ→日本の順番の時に短くなるか の２通りで評価が行われ，有意な差は無いことが示されました． バヌアツ→日本の順で地震が起きたケースだけを集めて（チェリーピッキング）関連があるかのように見せかけるサイトや，それを鵜呑みにして嘘を広める人には注意が必要です．
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-11-22 12:32:14 UTC (1700656334709) |
2023-11-23 03:19:28 UTC (1700709568453) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2023-11-23 04:34:16 UTC (1700714056905) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2023-11-23 03:19:28 UTC (1700709568453) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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