Birdwatch Note
2023-11-18 03:15:17 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
当該論文は一定の仮定の元に予測モデルを立て、そのモデルによる予測と現実の観測結果が一致することを確認することでその予測モデルの信頼性を検証しています。 その上で、その予測モデルを用いて接種状況が現実と違う場合を予測しています。 こうした手法はある程度の誤差を伴うものの、科学ではよく用いられる手法です。 2021年2月17日〜11月30日の期間を一貫して計算しており、「短期予想モデルの結果を繋ぎ合わせて長期のシナリオを作っている」に該当する部分はありません。 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-44942-6 同様の手法は他の論文でも用いられており、本論文と矛盾しない結果が導かれています。 https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00320-6
Written by EE7192EF0B1C47D8A3430C3E070DA2A0BFAA58717F9133404318E9D7666B1A00
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1725487799372230750
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1725714264479199608
- noteId - 1725714264479199608
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - EE7192EF0B1C47D8A3430C3E070DA2A0BFAA58717F9133404318E9D7666B1A00 Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1700277317530
- tweetId - 1725487799372230750
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 当該論文は一定の仮定の元に予測モデルを立て、そのモデルによる予測と現実の観測結果が一致することを確認することでその予測モデルの信頼性を検証しています。 その上で、その予測モデルを用いて接種状況が現実と違う場合を予測しています。 こうした手法はある程度の誤差を伴うものの、科学ではよく用いられる手法です。 2021年2月17日〜11月30日の期間を一貫して計算しており、「短期予想モデルの結果を繋ぎ合わせて長期のシナリオを作っている」に該当する部分はありません。 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-44942-6 同様の手法は他の論文でも用いられており、本論文と矛盾しない結果が導かれています。 https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00320-6
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-11-18 03:15:17 UTC (1700277317530) |
2023-11-18 08:47:12 UTC (1700297232995) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2023-11-19 02:38:53 UTC (1700361533597) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2023-11-18 08:47:12 UTC (1700297232995) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
Note Ratings
| rated at | rated by | |
| 2023-11-18 16:08:57 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 10:31:19 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 08:27:00 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 05:33:16 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 04:50:36 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 04:39:06 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 04:09:01 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 01:28:18 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 01:20:08 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 01:11:35 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 01:05:30 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 00:25:17 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 00:05:37 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 23:56:33 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 23:35:14 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 23:30:52 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 23:26:20 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 23:20:07 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 23:19:22 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 22:52:56 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 22:47:26 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 22:43:42 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 22:33:36 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 22:32:00 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 22:22:44 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 22:21:14 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 22:14:26 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 22:11:20 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:59:11 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:57:19 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:55:29 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:55:27 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:52:00 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:50:06 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:49:05 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:36:04 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:35:58 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:27:45 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-17 21:27:20 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 15:49:25 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 10:05:16 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 07:20:27 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 01:14:30 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 22:31:38 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 22:17:53 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 20:38:12 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 18:40:33 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 06:17:03 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 02:08:25 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:54:15 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:34:37 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:28:24 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:03:24 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:00:59 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:41:42 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 22:13:41 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 06:25:45 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-24 11:32:12 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 16:36:28 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 08:48:58 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 07:19:59 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 06:38:58 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 04:34:33 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 03:09:22 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 02:17:41 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 01:50:56 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:55:53 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:27:05 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:12:21 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:06:23 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-20 00:05:51 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 14:39:49 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 08:57:52 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 08:51:11 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 08:02:30 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 05:50:36 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 04:24:32 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 03:43:41 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 01:31:27 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 01:24:53 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-19 00:58:37 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 23:55:40 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 23:31:31 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 20:37:33 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 18:52:53 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 18:43:27 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 18:07:55 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 16:09:30 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 13:28:52 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 09:50:36 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 09:30:26 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 08:14:47 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 07:56:18 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 07:51:35 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 07:41:57 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 06:50:30 -0600 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-11-18 06:46:28 -0600 | Rating Details |