Birdwatch Note
2023-11-17 02:40:16 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
この図での超過死亡は前年比の死亡増加ですが 2021年のコロナ禍がなかった場合の予想死亡と比較した場合の超過死亡は下記の通りです WHO(natureに公表):1万人強 https://www.carenet.com/news/general/carenet/55642 our world in data:1.5万人弱 https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?tab=table&zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-12-31..2021-12-31&facet=none&country=~JPN&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&hideControls=true&Metric=Excess+mortality+%28count%29&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=false&Color+by+test+positivity=false こうした推計は国立人口研究所が2017年に予測した21年の死亡数は144万人で↓ https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 実際の21年の死亡数は144万人↓なのと整合します。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/nengai21/dl/gaikyouR3.pdf なお20年の死亡数は確かに感染対策等とされる効果で減少です↓ https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQODG228660S1A220C2000000/ が20年12月, 21年1月にはインフルが激減したのに既に前年比六千人,八千人増だった↓事に注意が必要です。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/m2020/dl/all0212.pdf https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/m2021/dl/all0301.pdf
Written by F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D
Participant Details
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All Information
- ID - 1725343064083021859
- noteId - 1725343064083021859
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - F4D2E4CA66E08B99BDDE8328BBF4C2313B853B3595C8AC38600E463328C72D9D Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1700188816459
- tweetId - 1725276307351883964
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 1
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- この図での超過死亡は前年比の死亡増加ですが 2021年のコロナ禍がなかった場合の予想死亡と比較した場合の超過死亡は下記の通りです WHO(natureに公表):1万人強 https://www.carenet.com/news/general/carenet/55642 our world in data:1.5万人弱 https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?tab=table&zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-12-31..2021-12-31&facet=none&country=~JPN&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&hideControls=true&Metric=Excess+mortality+%28count%29&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=false&Color+by+test+positivity=false こうした推計は国立人口研究所が2017年に予測した21年の死亡数は144万人で↓ https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/db_zenkoku2017/s_tables/1-8.htm 実際の21年の死亡数は144万人↓なのと整合します。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/nengai21/dl/gaikyouR3.pdf なお20年の死亡数は確かに感染対策等とされる効果で減少です↓ https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQODG228660S1A220C2000000/ が20年12月, 21年1月にはインフルが激減したのに既に前年比六千人,八千人増だった↓事に注意が必要です。 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/m2020/dl/all0212.pdf https://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/saikin/hw/jinkou/geppo/m2021/dl/all0301.pdf
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-11-17 02:40:16 UTC (1700188816459) |
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
2023-11-18 02:43:45 UTC (1700275425583) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
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