Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-11-15 11:20:27 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

The author's estimate of a 40% loss misreads how options are priced. He calculated on the notional value (underlying asset), not the premium Burry paid. The premiums are not disclosed in the reports, so we can’t estimate the actual loss, but it’s less than 40%. https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/burry-famous-big-short-bought-bearish-options-against-sp-nasdaq-100-2023-08-14/

Written by B6A026EA6B1BFB039DC93B290B5F5486C6B8AAEDE6418CB0E667321A7A94EB14
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1724548590918316073

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All Information

  • ID - 1724749196475904104
  • noteId - 1724749196475904104
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - B6A026EA6B1BFB039DC93B290B5F5486C6B8AAEDE6418CB0E667321A7A94EB14 Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1700047227383
  • tweetId - 1724548590918316073
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • The author's estimate of a 40% loss misreads how options are priced. He calculated on the notional value (underlying asset), not the premium Burry paid. The premiums are not disclosed in the reports, so we can’t estimate the actual loss, but it’s less than 40%. https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/burry-famous-big-short-bought-bearish-options-against-sp-nasdaq-100-2023-08-14/

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-11-15 11:20:27 UTC
(1700047227383)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-11-16 03:08:07 UTC
(1700104087450)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

Note Ratings

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2023-11-15 15:25:51 -0600 Rating Details
2023-11-15 12:15:01 -0600 Rating Details
2023-11-15 10:15:58 -0600 Rating Details