Birdwatch Note
2023-11-06 11:10:06 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
投稿された画像をもとにM7クラスの地震のリスクが高まったとする主張には全く根拠がありません． 巨大地震の前に電離層に変動が見られることは報告されています（下記PDFのP.15～）． しかし同程度の変動は巨大地震が無いときにも頻繁に発生しており，電離層の状態を見て地震が起きる/起きないを予想することはできないというのが現在分かっていることです（TECに基づくROTIも同様）． https://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/sympo/kicho1.pdf 地磁気についても観測機関の公開する画像を見る程度の甘い分析でリスクを評価できるとの知見はなく，特定の周波数に限った分析を行って漸く得たゲインですら実用段階ではありません． https://academic.oup.com/gji/article/208/1/482/2417073
Written by 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1721485101178249712
- noteId - 1721485101178249712
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1699269006425
- tweetId - 1721467966297194523
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 投稿された画像をもとにM7クラスの地震のリスクが高まったとする主張には全く根拠がありません． 巨大地震の前に電離層に変動が見られることは報告されています（下記PDFのP.15～）． しかし同程度の変動は巨大地震が無いときにも頻繁に発生しており，電離層の状態を見て地震が起きる/起きないを予想することはできないというのが現在分かっていることです（TECに基づくROTIも同様）． https://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/sympo/kicho1.pdf 地磁気についても観測機関の公開する画像を見る程度の甘い分析でリスクを評価できるとの知見はなく，特定の周波数に限った分析を行って漸く得たゲインですら実用段階ではありません． https://academic.oup.com/gji/article/208/1/482/2417073
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-11-06 11:10:06 UTC (1699269006425) |
2023-11-06 14:02:12 UTC (1699279332627) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2023-11-07 03:05:44 UTC (1699326344811) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 2023-11-06 14:02:12 UTC (1699279332627) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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